About Fielding Independent Pitching (FIP)
Fielding Independent Pitching (FIP) is a sabermetric statistic that estimates a pitcher's run prevention using only the outcomes the pitcher controls almost entirely on his own: home runs, walks, hit batsmen, and strikeouts. Everything that happens once a ball is put in play — a diving catch, a booted grounder, a bloop that finds grass — depends heavily on the defense behind the pitcher and on luck, so FIP deliberately ignores those events. It was popularized by Tom Tango and is a standard column on sites like FanGraphs.
The FIP formula
The calculator uses the standard definition:
FIP = (13 × HR + 3 × (BB + HBP) − 2 × K) ÷ IP + FIP constant
- HR — home runs allowed, weighted 13 because home runs are the most damaging event a pitcher fully owns.
- BB + HBP — walks plus hit-by-pitch (free baserunners), weighted 3.
- K — strikeouts, subtracted with a weight of 2 because a strikeout is a guaranteed out that never involves the defense.
- IP — innings pitched (use decimals: ⅓ inning = .33, ⅔ inning = .67, not the .1/.2 box-score shorthand).
- FIP constant — a per-season adjustment (roughly 3.10 in a typical MLB year) that shifts the whole scale so that league-average FIP equals league-average ERA. It changes slightly every year with run-scoring environment.
Why FIP instead of ERA
ERA counts every earned run a pitcher allows, but a large share of those runs turn on defense and sequencing luck that the pitcher cannot repeat. FIP strips that noise out, so it tends to predict a pitcher's next season ERA better than his current ERA does. When a pitcher's ERA sits well above his FIP, he has often been unlucky or poorly supported by his defense and may improve; when ERA sits well below FIP, he has likely been lucky and may regress.
Reference points on the ERA scale
Because FIP is deliberately scaled to look like ERA, the same rules of thumb apply. As a rough guide for a full MLB season:
- ~3.20 or below — excellent, ace-level.
- ~3.50 — very good / above average.
- ~4.20 — roughly league average.
- ~4.80 or above — below average.
Worked example: a starter with 18 HR, 45 BB, 6 HBP, 180 K over 190 IP and a 3.10 constant has a core of (13×18 + 3×51 − 2×180) ÷ 190 = (234 + 153 − 360) ÷ 190 = 27 ÷ 190 ≈ 0.142, so FIP ≈ 0.14 + 3.10 = 3.24 — a strong, above-average season.