How this calculator works
Consistency Score = Base − Wake Variance Penalty + Light Bonus − Bed Drift Penalty
How to use
- Enter baseline values from recent real data.
- Run baseline scenario and note primary output.
- Stress test assumptions and compare delta.
- Use results to set an actionable plan.
Interpretation
Focus on direction and sensitivity, not just one absolute number. If small input changes swing outputs heavily, build a wider execution margin.
Common mistakes
- Using stale inputs.
- Ignoring downside cases.
- Acting on one run without comparison.
FAQ
Is this exact forecasting? No, it is a structured planning model. Best practice? Re-run monthly with fresh inputs.