About the mean sac diameter
The mean sac diameter (MSD) is an early-pregnancy ultrasound measurement used before a fetal pole is visible, typically during the fifth and sixth weeks of gestation. A sonographer measures the gestational sac in three planes - length, height, and width - from inner wall to inner wall, and the mean sac diameter is simply the average of those three numbers.
How the formula works
MSD (mm) = (diameter 1 + diameter 2 + diameter 3) / 3. Because the sac is rarely a perfect sphere, averaging three orthogonal measurements smooths out the effect of measuring a slightly oval shape from a single angle.
Estimating gestational age from the MSD
Before a crown-rump length (CRL) can be measured, sonographers commonly use a simple rule of thumb known as Robinson's rule: gestational age in days is approximately equal to the MSD in millimeters plus 30. This estimate is most reliable for an MSD between about 2 and 24 mm; once the sac is larger and an embryo is visible, CRL-based dating is more accurate and should be used instead. The estimated due date on this page adds the remaining days of a standard 280-day (40-week) pregnancy to the scan date you enter.
Using the MSD to screen for early viability
The Society of Radiologists in Ultrasound and the American College of Radiology published consensus criteria (Doubilet et al., 2013) for distinguishing a normal early pregnancy from a failed one. An MSD of 25 mm or more with no visible embryo is considered diagnostic of pregnancy failure. An MSD of 16-24 mm with no embryo is suspicious but not diagnostic on its own, and the recommended next step is a follow-up scan in 7 to 14 days rather than an immediate conclusion. Below these thresholds, an empty-appearing sac is frequently just early, since a yolk sac is not always visible until the MSD reaches roughly 8 mm and an embryo not until roughly 16-18 mm.
When to consult a professional
This calculator performs the standard MSD arithmetic and applies published dating and viability thresholds; it does not read the ultrasound images themselves and cannot replace a scan interpreted by a qualified sonographer or physician. Any concern about pregnancy viability should be discussed directly with your obstetric care provider, who can weigh serial scans, hCG trends, and your full clinical picture.