How the CAPM Calculator works
The Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM) estimates the return an investor should expect from an asset given its systematic (market) risk. It is one of the most widely taught models in corporate finance for estimating the cost of equity and for judging whether an asset's expected return is fair compensation for its risk relative to the overall market.
The formula
CAPM states that the expected return on an asset equals the risk-free rate plus a risk premium proportional to the asset's beta:
Re = Rf + β × (Rm − Rf)
where Rf is the risk-free rate (commonly a government bond yield), β (beta) measures the asset's historical volatility relative to the market, and Rm is the expected return of the overall market. The term (Rm − Rf) is called the market risk premium (or equity risk premium), and β × (Rm − Rf) is the beta-adjusted risk premium added on top of the risk-free rate.
Worked example
With a 4.5% risk-free rate, a beta of 1.2, and an expected market return of 10%, the market risk premium is 10% − 4.5% = 5.5%. Multiplying by beta gives a beta-adjusted risk premium of 1.2 × 5.5% = 6.6%. Adding the risk-free rate back gives an expected return of 4.5% + 6.6% = 11.1%. On a $10,000 investment, that expected return works out to about $1,110 over the period the rates cover — typically one year for annualized inputs.
Reading beta
- β = 1: the asset tends to move in step with the market.
- β > 1: the asset is more volatile than the market — larger swings in both directions.
- 0 < β < 1: the asset is less volatile than the market.
- β < 0: the asset tends to move opposite the market, which can offer diversification value in a portfolio.
Assumptions and limitations
CAPM assumes markets are reasonably efficient, investors hold diversified portfolios, and beta is stable over the period being analyzed. It only prices systematic risk — the risk that diversification cannot remove — and treats company-specific (unsystematic) risk as diversified away. Historical beta is an estimate of future beta, not a guarantee, and the risk-free rate and market return you enter are inputs you choose, not facts the calculator looks up. Treat the output as a standard finance-theory estimate to support analysis, not a guaranteed return or personalized investment advice.