What fractional odds mean
Fractional odds are the traditional way UK and Irish bookmakers quote a bet. Odds written as a/b (said "a to b") tell you the profit you win relative to your stake: for every b units you stake, you win a units of profit if the bet succeeds. So 5/1 ("five to one") returns 5 units of profit for every 1 unit staked, and 11/4 returns 11 units of profit for every 4 staked. Your original stake is returned on top of the profit whenever the bet wins.
The formulas this calculator uses
- Profit ratio: a / b — the profit per unit staked.
- Decimal odds: a/b + 1 — total return per unit staked, the format used by most exchanges and European books.
- Implied probability: b / (a + b) — the break-even win probability baked into the price, expressed as a percentage.
- Profit on a stake S: S × (a / b).
- Total return on a stake S: S × (a/b + 1) = stake + profit.
Why implied probability matters
The implied probability is the win rate at which a bet breaks even over the long run. If 5/1 implies 16.67% and you believe the true chance is higher than that, the bet has positive expected value. Bookmakers deliberately set the sum of implied probabilities across all outcomes above 100% — that excess is the "overround" or "vig," their built-in margin. Comparing your own probability estimate against the implied probability is the core of value betting.
Common reference points
- 1/1 (evens): implied probability 50%, decimal 2.00 — double your money on a win.
- 1/2 (odds-on): implied probability 66.67%, decimal 1.50 — you risk 2 to win 1.
- 2/1: implied probability 33.33%, decimal 3.00.
- 5/1: implied probability 16.67%, decimal 6.00.
- 10/1: implied probability 9.09%, decimal 11.00.
- 100/1: implied probability 0.99%, decimal 101.00 — a long-shot.